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Red132
249136.2
479558.0
521654.2
Blue86
392839.0
339027.7
147756.8
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1531195010020025013286

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4795
#15
58.00.5
54.654.1
Auto15.6
Teleop34.7
End7.7
red by 1.3
1477
#41
56.82.0
53.251.2
Auto14.0
Teleop36.9
End4.4
Second
5216
#18
54.20.5
54.854.3
Auto12.0
Teleop30.3
End10.2
red by 15.1
3928
#45
39.02.0
34.832.8
Auto12.0
Teleop20.3
End7.4
Third
2491
#44
36.20.5
30.129.6
Auto9.0
Teleop20.7
End6.6
red by 8.4
3390
#78
27.72.0
28.126.1
Auto7.3
Teleop14.2
End6.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
45%Sustainability oddsEarned42%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
90%Activation oddsEarned64%Activation oddsEarned