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Red152
132571.7
259051.1
928733.1
Blue167
715346.4
20345.9
241252.4
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions16214480100120180200220240152167

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1325
#26
71.70.2
72.272.0
Auto19.1
Teleop40.6
End9.5
red by 19.3
2412
#23
52.42.0
51.453.4
Auto11.8
Teleop32.7
End6.3
Second
2590
#48
51.10.2
47.947.7
Auto12.9
Teleop31.2
End6.5
red by 4.7
7153
#43
46.42.0
46.047.9
Auto14.0
Teleop24.4
End7.9
Third
9287
#54
33.10.2
31.731.5
Auto8.7
Teleop16.0
End8.8
blue by 12.8
203
#52
45.92.0
40.342.3
Auto13.5
Teleop25.9
End6.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
83%Sustainability oddsEarned92%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
88%Activation oddsMissed73%Activation oddsEarned