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Red73
490760.7
286928.1
151137.0
Blue166
178151.8
409123.3
265960.9
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions138130010020030040073166

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4907
#35
60.73.7
62.558.9
Auto14.9
Teleop36.3
End7.8
blue by 0.1
60.92.9
55.258.0
Auto14.2
Teleop37.0
End8.5
Second
1511
#38
37.03.7
36.032.4
Auto10.5
Teleop21.1
End5.5
blue by 14.8
1781
#20
51.82.9
49.352.2
Auto12.8
Teleop29.9
End8.4
Third
2869
#58
28.13.7
29.425.7
Auto7.5
Teleop13.8
End7.3
red by 4.8
4091
#64
23.32.9
18.421.2
Auto6.7
Teleop12.2
End4.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
77%Sustainability oddsMissed57%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
80%Activation oddsMissed61%Activation oddsEarned