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Red148
542225.3
248635.0
236367.4
Blue138
303552.4
387534.9
103847.6
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions128137050100150200250148138

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2363
#17
67.41.8
64.766.4
Auto14.6
Teleop41.7
End8.2
red by 15.0
3035
#62
52.40.0
51.851.9
Auto10.2
Teleop31.3
End11.2
Second
2486
#67
35.01.8
34.236.0
Auto10.0
Teleop18.3
End7.2
blue by 12.6
1038
#55
47.60.0
45.845.8
Auto11.1
Teleop28.9
End7.3
Third
5422
#66
25.31.8
22.724.5
Auto7.2
Teleop11.8
End6.9
blue by 9.6
3875
#77
34.90.0
29.929.9
Auto10.3
Teleop17.9
End6.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
58%Sustainability oddsEarned59%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
65%Activation oddsEarned86%Activation oddsMissed