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Red183
683847.2
546065.5
494663.7
Blue126
776957.6
113841.3
339027.7
90%Model gave it10%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions18112350100150200250183126

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
65.50.7
61.662.2
Auto14.5
Teleop42.1
End7.3
red by 7.9
7769
#34
57.60.5
60.059.5
Auto10.8
Teleop35.7
End9.3
Second
4946
#13
63.70.7
61.361.9
Auto15.7
Teleop37.5
End8.7
red by 22.4
1138
#30
41.30.5
36.836.4
Auto8.8
Teleop24.3
End8.6
Third
6838
#32
47.20.7
45.746.3
Auto12.6
Teleop26.4
End7.9
red by 19.4
3390
#78
27.70.5
26.125.6
Auto7.3
Teleop14.2
End6.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
90%Sustainability oddsEarned60%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
89%Activation oddsEarned63%Activation oddsEarned