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Red121
171039.6
420156.7
364759.4
Blue158
571255.5
205458.8
69564.8
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions164180100150200250121158

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3647
#21
59.40.8
60.159.4
Auto16.7
Teleop35.0
End6.5
blue by 5.4
695
#16
64.80.4
65.164.7
Auto14.6
Teleop40.4
End7.1
Second
56.70.8
57.556.7
Auto11.9
Teleop35.9
End7.9
blue by 2.1
58.80.4
59.158.7
Auto13.6
Teleop35.5
End6.4
Third
1710
#70
39.60.8
40.439.6
Auto10.6
Teleop24.1
End5.3
blue by 15.9
5712
#50
55.50.4
55.955.4
Auto14.0
Teleop32.8
End7.0