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Red188
276768.2
173170.0
776957.6
Blue198
479558.0
265960.9
420660.1
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions202182120140160220240260188198

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
70.00.1
70.670.5
Auto17.9
Teleop41.0
End8.5
red by 9.2
60.90.5
59.760.2
Auto14.2
Teleop37.0
End8.5
Second
68.20.1
68.868.7
Auto19.0
Teleop39.9
End8.1
red by 8.1
60.10.5
58.959.4
Auto12.1
Teleop38.7
End8.8
Third
7769
#34
57.60.1
58.258.1
Auto10.8
Teleop35.7
End9.3
blue by 0.4
4795
#15
58.00.5
56.857.3
Auto15.6
Teleop34.7
End7.7