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Red197
420660.1
265960.9
479558.0
Blue133
364759.4
420156.7
171039.6
73%Model gave it27%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions190165100150200250197133

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
60.90.4
60.260.5
Auto14.2
Teleop37.0
End8.5
red by 1.5
3647
#21
59.40.6
60.760.1
Auto16.7
Teleop35.0
End6.5
Second
60.10.4
59.459.8
Auto12.1
Teleop38.7
End8.8
red by 3.4
56.70.6
58.157.5
Auto11.9
Teleop35.9
End7.9
Third
4795
#15
58.00.4
57.357.7
Auto15.6
Teleop34.7
End7.7
red by 18.4
1710
#70
39.60.6
41.040.4
Auto10.6
Teleop24.1
End5.3