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Red94
74420.7
547255.6
136917.2
Blue47
744217.6
647318.2
159222.2
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions895502040801001201401609447

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
55.60.7
47.848.4
Auto13.9
Teleop33.8
End7.9
red by 33.4
1592
#33
22.22.7
17.514.8
Auto5.7
Teleop10.4
End6.1
Second
744
#35
20.70.7
15.816.4
Auto3.3
Teleop11.1
End6.3
red by 2.6
6473
#17
18.22.7
19.917.2
Auto6.4
Teleop4.9
End6.8
Third
1369
#42
17.21.1
15.716.8
Auto4.1
Teleop7.7
End5.3
blue by 0.4
7442
#44
17.62.7
18.716.1
Auto2.6
Teleop9.9
End5.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
6%Sustainability oddsMissed4%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
57%Activation oddsEarned39%Activation oddsMissed