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Red78
159222.2
238335.0
362714.8
Blue40
875319.7
632219.2
402413.5
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions55562040801007840

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2383
#20
35.01.8
29.331.1
Auto7.5
Teleop17.4
End10.1
red by 15.4
8753
#16
19.73.6
15.612.0
Auto7.7
Teleop10.3
End1.7
Second
1592
#33
22.22.9
14.817.7
Auto5.7
Teleop10.4
End6.1
red by 3.0
6322
#43
19.23.6
17.513.9
Auto6.7
Teleop8.5
End4.0
Third
3627
#38
14.81.8
7.69.3
Auto2.3
Teleop8.2
End4.3
red by 1.2
4024
#49
13.53.6
19.415.8
Auto5.1
Teleop4.9
End3.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
4%Sustainability oddsMissed3%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
29%Activation oddsMissed42%Activation oddsMissed