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Red33
279712.5
40917.9
7919.1
Blue53
881732.2
23327.6
652717.2
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4765020801001201401603353

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
79
#37
19.10.9
12.511.7
Auto3.9
Teleop11.3
End3.9
blue by 13.2
32.20.4
18.918.6
Auto9.4
Teleop16.3
End6.6
Second
2797
#54
12.51.4
15.514.1
Auto3.5
Teleop7.0
End2.0
blue by 15.1
233
#21
27.60.6
22.622.0
Auto5.4
Teleop16.4
End5.9
Third
4091
#40
7.91.4
18.016.6
Auto1.3
Teleop4.3
End2.2
blue by 9.3
6527
#27
17.20.6
16.916.3
Auto5.8
Teleop12.1
End-0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
3%Sustainability oddsMissed3%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
24%Activation oddsMissed41%Activation oddsMissed