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Red97
23327.6
8635.1
393233.3
Blue82
547255.6
401321.4
640220.4
13%Model gave it87%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions72105204060801201401601809782

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
86
#8
35.12.8
26.829.6
Auto13.4
Teleop16.0
End5.8
blue by 20.5
55.60.8
50.249.3
Auto13.9
Teleop33.8
End7.9
Second
33.31.7
22.324.0
Auto8.2
Teleop19.4
End5.6
red by 11.9
4013
#41
21.41.4
19.217.8
Auto2.4
Teleop12.6
End6.3
Third
233
#21
27.62.8
22.825.6
Auto5.4
Teleop16.4
End5.9
red by 7.3
6402
#52
20.41.4
25.223.8
Auto6.1
Teleop7.7
End6.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
3%Sustainability oddsMissed8%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
37%Activation oddsEarned67%Activation oddsMissed