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Qual 492023 Orlando Regional
Red77
832420.9
174413.8
190229.4
Blue39
74420.7
640220.4
40917.9
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions595702040801001207739

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1902
#14
29.42.5
24.5→27.0
Auto7.0
Teleop14.7
End7.7
red by 8.7
744
#35
20.71.0
17.8→16.9
Auto3.3
Teleop11.1
End6.3
Second
8324
#31
20.92.5
19.4→21.8
Auto4.0
Teleop9.5
End7.4
red by 0.6
6402
#52
20.41.6
26.4→24.8
Auto6.1
Teleop7.7
End6.6
Third
1744
#25
13.81.5
11.0→12.4
Auto3.2
Teleop2.1
End8.4
red by 5.9
4091
#40
7.91.6
9.3→7.7
Auto1.3
Teleop4.3
End2.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
3%Sustainability oddsMissed3%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
54%Activation oddsEarned28%Activation oddsMissed