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Red49
456219.6
647318.2
402413.5
Blue55
832420.9
40917.9
80128.8
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions625701001504955

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4562
#22
19.61.5
22.420.9
Auto5.8
Teleop10.2
End3.6
blue by 9.2
801
#26
28.80.1
24.424.5
Auto9.9
Teleop11.3
End7.6
Second
6473
#17
18.21.5
20.118.6
Auto6.4
Teleop4.9
End6.8
blue by 2.8
8324
#31
20.90.1
21.822.0
Auto4.0
Teleop9.5
End7.4
Third
4024
#49
13.51.5
15.013.5
Auto5.1
Teleop4.9
End3.6
red by 5.7
4091
#40
7.90.1
7.77.8
Auto1.3
Teleop4.3
End2.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
3%Sustainability oddsMissed3%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
28%Activation oddsMissed61%Activation oddsEarned