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Qual 622023 Orlando Regional
Red101
18046.9
401321.4
881732.2
Blue97
884137.3
162223.9
682330.2
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions929760708010011012013010197

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
180
#3
46.90.9
43.3→44.2
Auto14.0
Teleop25.0
End7.8
red by 9.6
8841
#2
37.30.2
36.4→36.6
Auto7.4
Teleop22.0
End7.9
Second
8817
#7
32.20.9
25.4→26.3
Auto9.4
Teleop16.3
End6.6
red by 2.0
6823
#15
30.20.1
29.6→29.7
Auto7.7
Teleop13.8
End8.7
Third
4013
#41
21.41.5
18.6→20.1
Auto2.4
Teleop12.6
End6.3
blue by 2.5
1622
#39
23.90.1
24.1→24.2
Auto7.2
Teleop11.0
End5.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
3%Sustainability oddsMissed5%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
53%Activation oddsEarned69%Activation oddsMissed