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Red83
581616.5
411841.1
5934.1
Blue100
672234.9
402413.5
74420.7
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions54502040608010083100

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4118
#10
41.13.1
17.921.0
Auto9.7
Teleop23.1
End8.3
red by 6.2
34.94.8
18.022.8
Auto8.6
Teleop19.7
End6.6
Second
59
#19
34.11.9
14.916.8
Auto5.7
Teleop20.2
End8.2
red by 13.4
744
#35
20.72.9
12.915.8
Auto3.3
Teleop11.1
End6.3
Third
5816
#24
16.53.1
17.420.5
Auto6.9
Teleop5.8
End3.8
red by 3.0
4024
#49
13.54.8
16.220.9
Auto5.1
Teleop4.9
End3.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
3%Sustainability oddsMissed3%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
28%Activation oddsMissed37%Activation oddsEarned