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Red110
174413.8
881732.2
2130.7
Blue70
136917.2
238335.0
541218.6
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7275010020030040050011070

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
32.22.5
29.732.2
Auto9.4
Teleop16.3
End6.6
blue by 2.8
2383
#20
35.00.4
33.533.2
Auto7.5
Teleop17.4
End10.1
Second
21
#29
30.73.5
27.130.7
Auto10.6
Teleop11.2
End8.8
red by 12.1
5412
#32
18.60.5
19.018.6
Auto3.0
Teleop9.5
End6.0
Third
1744
#25
13.82.5
11.413.8
Auto3.2
Teleop2.1
End8.4
blue by 3.4
1369
#42
17.20.5
17.717.2
Auto4.1
Teleop7.7
End5.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
3%Sustainability oddsMissed5%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
71%Activation oddsEarned62%Activation oddsMissed