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Red140
190229.4
18046.9
17954.9
Blue145
5934.1
547255.6
674337.2
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions136127050100200250300350140145

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
179
#1
54.90.3
53.353.6
Auto16.2
Teleop29.3
End9.4
blue by 0.8
55.60.4
53.754.1
Auto13.9
Teleop33.8
End7.9
Second
180
#3
46.90.3
45.345.6
Auto14.0
Teleop25.0
End7.8
red by 9.7
6743
#18
37.20.6
34.635.1
Auto10.5
Teleop18.8
End7.9
Third
1902
#14
29.40.4
27.527.9
Auto7.0
Teleop14.7
End7.7
blue by 4.6
59
#19
34.10.4
32.132.6
Auto5.7
Teleop20.2
End8.2