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Red116
928428.7
23337.8
555731.9
Blue125
672251.3
18056.2
459212.5
15%Model gave it85%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions100132406080120140160180200116125

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
233
#9
37.80.3
37.537.8
Auto8.8
Teleop21.3
End7.8
blue by 18.3
180
#3
56.20.0
56.256.2
Auto16.2
Teleop30.0
End10.0
Second
31.90.3
31.631.9
Auto9.7
Teleop13.6
End8.5
blue by 19.4
51.30.0
51.351.3
Auto13.4
Teleop28.4
End9.4
Third
9284
#18
28.70.3
28.428.7
Auto9.0
Teleop14.7
End4.9
red by 16.1
4592
#31
12.50.0
12.512.5
Auto2.8
Teleop5.3
End4.5