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Red70
928428.7
878822.1
832427.0
Blue53
297321.5
931315.4
581613.3
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions785002040601001201407053

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9284
#18
28.70.0
27.227.2
Auto9.0
Teleop14.7
End4.9
red by 7.1
2973
#28
21.50.3
16.115.8
Auto6.1
Teleop9.1
End6.3
Second
8324
#34
27.00.0
22.622.6
Auto6.4
Teleop13.6
End7.0
red by 11.6
9313
#29
15.40.3
18.418.1
Auto2.4
Teleop5.8
End7.2
Third
8788
#12
22.10.0
20.220.2
Auto6.4
Teleop9.7
End6.0
red by 8.8
5816
#35
13.30.2
16.316.1
Auto4.9
Teleop5.0
End3.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
7%Sustainability oddsMissed4%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
47%Activation oddsMissed40%Activation oddsMissed