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Red107
672251.3
618413.1
8639.5
Blue70
572210.5
743129.3
664732.2
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions94702040608012014016010770

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
51.31.5
38.540.0
Auto13.4
Teleop28.4
End9.4
red by 19.1
6647
#21
32.20.1
30.630.7
Auto7.9
Teleop15.0
End9.3
Second
86
#5
39.51.5
36.938.4
Auto14.1
Teleop18.5
End6.9
red by 10.1
7431
#19
29.30.1
25.325.4
Auto8.1
Teleop14.2
End7.0
Third
6184
#36
13.12.4
9.712.1
Auto1.9
Teleop6.3
End4.9
red by 2.6
5722
#38
10.50.2
12.512.7
Auto4.4
Teleop3.3
End2.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
8%Sustainability oddsEarned4%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
77%Activation oddsMissed75%Activation oddsEarned