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Red30
877513.0
913515.7
93009.6
Blue89
743129.3
618413.1
527619.4
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions495702040801001203089

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9135
#24
15.71.9
14.512.6
Auto5.8
Teleop3.0
End6.9
blue by 13.6
7431
#19
29.31.6
26.127.8
Auto8.1
Teleop14.2
End7.0
Second
8775
#30
13.01.9
20.218.3
Auto3.2
Teleop5.3
End4.5
blue by 6.4
5276
#22
19.42.7
16.619.3
Auto4.5
Teleop9.5
End5.4
Third
9300
#37
9.61.9
12.110.3
Auto2.4
Teleop3.5
End3.8
blue by 3.5
6184
#36
13.12.7
9.812.5
Auto1.9
Teleop6.3
End4.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
5%Sustainability oddsMissed4%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
30%Activation oddsMissed29%Activation oddsEarned