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Red91
750021.7
18056.2
878822.1
Blue102
647321.6
190230.2
8639.5
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions94982040608012014016018091102

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
180
#3
56.20.2
52.652.8
Auto16.2
Teleop30.0
End10.0
red by 16.7
86
#5
39.50.6
39.438.8
Auto14.1
Teleop18.5
End6.9
Second
8788
#12
22.10.3
17.818.0
Auto6.4
Teleop9.7
End6.0
blue by 8.1
30.20.6
28.928.2
Auto8.2
Teleop16.6
End5.4
Third
7500
#11
21.70.2
18.018.2
Auto8.0
Teleop11.6
End2.1
red by 0.1
6473
#10
21.60.6
23.222.5
Auto6.1
Teleop7.4
End8.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
4%Sustainability oddsMissed8%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
72%Activation oddsEarned73%Activation oddsEarned