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Red114
406542.8
190230.2
745917.0
Blue99
832427.0
38638.4
743129.3
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions889560708010011012013011499

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
42.81.7
41.042.7
Auto15.0
Teleop18.6
End9.1
red by 4.3
386
#6
38.40.7
35.236.0
Auto12.1
Teleop19.1
End7.2
Second
30.21.7
28.229.9
Auto8.2
Teleop16.6
End5.4
red by 0.8
7431
#19
29.30.7
28.028.7
Auto8.1
Teleop14.2
End7.0
Third
7459
#13
17.01.7
14.416.1
Auto4.4
Teleop6.4
End6.2
blue by 10.0
8324
#34
27.00.7
24.825.5
Auto6.4
Teleop13.6
End7.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
6%Sustainability oddsEarned4%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
80%Activation oddsMissed80%Activation oddsEarned