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Red127
672251.3
555731.9
190230.2
Blue78
2131.7
215221.0
8639.5
76%Model gave it24%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1159440608014016018012778

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
51.31.5
46.547.9
Auto13.4
Teleop28.4
End9.4
red by 11.8
86
#5
39.50.8
38.838.0
Auto14.1
Teleop18.5
End6.9
Second
31.91.5
28.730.1
Auto9.7
Teleop13.6
End8.5
red by 0.2
21
#27
31.70.8
33.032.2
Auto11.0
Teleop13.8
End7.0
Third
30.21.5
29.931.4
Auto8.2
Teleop16.6
End5.4
red by 9.1
2152
#16
21.00.8
18.617.8
Auto4.3
Teleop9.6
End7.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
34%Sustainability oddsEarned3%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
88%Activation oddsEarned65%Activation oddsMissed