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Red67
527619.4
417917.6
555731.9
Blue98
743129.3
297321.5
190230.2
26%Model gave it74%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6987204060801001201406798

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
31.90.0
30.130.1
Auto9.7
Teleop13.6
End8.5
red by 1.7
30.20.6
31.432.0
Auto8.2
Teleop16.6
End5.4
Second
5276
#22
19.40.0
19.719.7
Auto4.5
Teleop9.5
End5.4
blue by 9.9
7431
#19
29.30.6
28.228.8
Auto8.1
Teleop14.2
End7.0
Third
4179
#23
17.60.0
16.816.9
Auto6.2
Teleop6.7
End4.7
blue by 3.9
2973
#28
21.50.8
19.520.3
Auto6.1
Teleop9.1
End6.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
7%Sustainability oddsMissed8%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
72%Activation oddsMissed40%Activation oddsEarned