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Red114
527619.4
23337.8
672251.3
Blue69
316418.1
93009.6
928428.7
99%Model gave it1%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12045010015020011469

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
51.30.7
48.849.5
Auto13.4
Teleop28.4
End9.4
red by 22.6
9284
#18
28.71.2
25.226.3
Auto9.0
Teleop14.7
End4.9
Second
233
#9
37.80.7
34.835.5
Auto8.8
Teleop21.3
End7.8
red by 19.7
3164
#25
18.11.4
17.919.3
Auto2.7
Teleop10.7
End4.7
Third
5276
#22
19.40.9
19.720.6
Auto4.5
Teleop9.5
End5.4
red by 9.8
9300
#37
9.61.5
8.510.1
Auto2.4
Teleop3.5
End3.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
12%Sustainability oddsMissed5%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
67%Activation oddsEarned22%Activation oddsMissed