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Red12
297321.5
316418.1
618413.1
Blue94
470716.9
750021.7
38638.4
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions53670204060801001201294

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2973
#28
21.54.4
20.516.1
Auto6.1
Teleop9.1
End6.3
blue by 16.9
386
#6
38.41.7
27.729.4
Auto12.1
Teleop19.1
End7.2
Second
3164
#25
18.14.4
17.112.7
Auto2.7
Teleop10.7
End4.7
blue by 3.5
7500
#11
21.71.5
17.919.5
Auto8.0
Teleop11.6
End2.1
Third
6184
#36
13.14.4
14.19.7
Auto1.9
Teleop6.3
End4.9
blue by 3.8
4707
#17
16.92.6
15.217.8
Auto3.8
Teleop9.3
End3.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
4%Sustainability oddsMissed4%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
31%Activation oddsMissed47%Activation oddsEarned