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Red107
745917.0
651047.5
406542.8
Blue103
297321.5
190230.2
255628.8
89%Model gave it11%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1197950100150107103

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
47.50.0
47.347.3
Auto13.2
Teleop25.6
End8.6
red by 17.3
30.20.4
29.730.2
Auto8.2
Teleop16.6
End5.4
Second
42.80.0
42.642.6
Auto15.0
Teleop18.6
End9.1
red by 13.9
2556
#14
28.80.5
28.428.8
Auto6.6
Teleop16.6
End5.7
Third
7459
#13
17.00.0
16.816.8
Auto4.4
Teleop6.4
End6.2
blue by 4.6
2973
#28
21.50.4
21.121.5
Auto6.1
Teleop9.1
End6.3