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Red136
459212.5
18056.2
672251.3
Blue66
878822.1
743129.3
2131.7
95%Model gave it5%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions132835010015020013666

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
180
#3
56.20.4
55.656.0
Auto16.2
Teleop30.0
End10.0
red by 24.4
21
#27
31.70.4
31.931.5
Auto11.0
Teleop13.8
End7.0
Second
51.30.4
50.751.1
Auto13.4
Teleop28.4
End9.4
red by 21.9
7431
#19
29.30.4
29.529.1
Auto8.1
Teleop14.2
End7.0
Third
4592
#31
12.50.4
11.612.0
Auto2.8
Teleop5.3
End4.5
blue by 9.5
8788
#12
22.10.4
22.522.1
Auto6.4
Teleop9.7
End6.0