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Red123
459212.5
18056.2
672251.3
Blue141
555731.9
23337.8
928428.7
85%Model gave it15%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1319750150200123141

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
180
#3
56.20.0
56.055.9
Auto16.2
Teleop30.0
End10.0
red by 18.3
233
#9
37.80.1
36.937.0
Auto8.8
Teleop21.3
End7.8
Second
51.30.0
51.151.1
Auto13.4
Teleop28.4
End9.4
red by 19.4
31.90.1
31.031.1
Auto9.7
Teleop13.6
End8.5
Third
4592
#31
12.50.0
12.012.0
Auto2.8
Teleop5.3
End4.5
blue by 16.1
9284
#18
28.70.1
27.727.9
Auto9.0
Teleop14.7
End4.9