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Red60
881718.9
18043.0
238330.9
Blue136
69555.2
406537.8
17948.6
38%Model gave it62%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions768905010015060136

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
180
#6
43.02.0
33.531.5
Auto14.3
Teleop20.6
End8.1
blue by 12.2
695
#1
55.26.0
25.932.0
Auto14.4
Teleop32.3
End8.4
Second
30.92.0
23.021.0
Auto7.6
Teleop14.2
End9.0
blue by 17.7
179
#2
48.66.0
37.243.2
Auto16.2
Teleop22.5
End9.9
Third
8817
#23
18.92.0
16.514.5
Auto6.3
Teleop9.1
End3.5
blue by 18.9
37.86.0
18.524.5
Auto13.9
Teleop15.7
End8.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
4%Sustainability oddsMissed6%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
60%Activation oddsMissed60%Activation oddsEarned