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Red100
1132.5
406537.8
765215.1
Blue25
78339.4
36276.1
365321.5
86%Model gave it14%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions74430206010012014010025

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
37.83.8
27.331.2
Auto13.9
Teleop15.7
End8.2
red by 16.3
3653
#16
21.52.7
19.116.4
Auto4.6
Teleop9.7
End7.2
Second
11
#9
32.53.8
24.328.1
Auto11.9
Teleop14.2
End6.4
red by 23.1
7833
#22
9.42.7
15.012.3
Auto3.0
Teleop2.0
End4.4
Third
7652
#20
15.13.8
13.817.6
Auto2.7
Teleop5.8
End6.6
red by 9.0
3627
#32
6.12.7
10.27.5
Auto0.0
Teleop4.6
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
5%Sustainability oddsMissed3%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
46%Activation oddsEarned31%Activation oddsMissed