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Red89
555719.4
17948.6
264118.9
Blue64
406537.8
810416.9
317328.9
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions707940601001208964

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
179
#2
48.60.8
40.541.3
Auto16.2
Teleop22.5
End9.9
red by 10.8
37.81.0
31.230.1
Auto13.9
Teleop15.7
End8.2
Second
5557
#15
19.40.8
12.313.1
Auto4.0
Teleop8.5
End6.9
blue by 9.5
28.91.0
24.823.8
Auto8.7
Teleop10.8
End9.5
Third
2641
#19
18.90.8
14.215.0
Auto8.4
Teleop7.0
End3.5
red by 2.0
8104
#18
16.91.0
17.316.3
Auto3.1
Teleop8.8
End5.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
7%Sustainability oddsMissed5%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
40%Activation oddsEarned61%Activation oddsEarned