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Red41
238330.9
66866.3
541017.7
Blue26
3487.1
87917.8
393219.4
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions575502040801004126

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
30.91.4
22.521.1
Auto7.6
Teleop14.2
End9.0
red by 11.5
3932
#11
19.43.4
24.521.1
Auto7.5
Teleop7.1
End4.8
Second
5410
#14
17.71.4
19.518.1
Auto4.2
Teleop8.4
End5.1
red by 9.9
8791
#30
7.83.4
13.410.0
Auto-0.0
Teleop1.1
End6.7
Third
6686
#26
6.31.4
11.510.1
Auto1.1
Teleop2.9
End2.3
blue by 0.9
348
#21
7.13.4
13.810.4
Auto3.3
Teleop0.3
End3.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
5%Sustainability oddsMissed3%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
31%Activation oddsMissed35%Activation oddsMissed