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Red134
365321.5
238330.9
547248.3
Blue65
420636.0
66866.3
10823.4
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions75662040608010012013465

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
48.35.0
31.836.9
Auto14.0
Teleop27.4
End6.9
red by 12.4
36.00.3
31.031.2
Auto8.7
Teleop18.5
End8.7
Second
30.95.0
22.127.1
Auto7.6
Teleop14.2
End9.0
red by 7.5
108
#12
23.40.3
23.023.3
Auto5.3
Teleop14.3
End3.8
Third
3653
#16
21.55.0
14.919.9
Auto4.6
Teleop9.7
End7.2
red by 15.2
6686
#26
6.30.3
8.89.0
Auto1.1
Teleop2.9
End2.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
3%Sustainability oddsEarned4%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
35%Activation oddsEarned28%Activation oddsMissed