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Red161
152319.7
317328.9
740321.2
Blue27
810416.9
36276.1
87917.8
99%Model gave it1%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions77260406010012014016016127

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
28.92.6
25.728.3
Auto8.7
Teleop10.8
End9.5
red by 12.0
8104
#18
16.90.4
17.817.4
Auto3.1
Teleop8.8
End5.0
Second
7403
#10
21.22.6
22.224.8
Auto7.4
Teleop7.8
End6.0
red by 13.4
8791
#30
7.80.4
8.38.0
Auto-0.0
Teleop1.1
End6.7
Third
1523
#17
19.72.6
18.220.8
Auto6.7
Teleop7.2
End5.8
red by 13.5
3627
#32
6.10.4
4.64.3
Auto0.0
Teleop4.6
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
3%Sustainability oddsMissed3%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
52%Activation oddsEarned21%Activation oddsMissed