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Red20
78339.4
215216.3
17445.2
Blue108
238330.9
317328.9
7912.5
1%Model gave it99%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2780020406010012014020108

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2152
#24
16.31.1
17.116.0
Auto3.8
Teleop7.4
End5.1
blue by 14.6
30.90.4
30.030.4
Auto7.6
Teleop14.2
End9.0
Second
7833
#22
9.41.1
9.38.1
Auto3.0
Teleop2.0
End4.4
blue by 19.5
28.90.4
28.328.7
Auto8.7
Teleop10.8
End9.5
Third
1744
#29
5.21.1
5.44.2
Auto0.9
Teleop0.1
End4.2
blue by 7.4
79
#13
12.50.4
10.110.6
Auto3.3
Teleop8.8
End0.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
3%Sustainability oddsMissed4%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
10%Activation oddsMissed42%Activation oddsEarned