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Red101
406537.8
420636.0
393219.4
Blue93
858113.9
547248.3
264118.9
85%Model gave it15%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions101732040608012014016010193

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
37.80.4
35.936.2
Auto13.9
Teleop15.7
End8.2
blue by 10.5
48.31.7
42.043.7
Auto14.0
Teleop27.4
End6.9
Second
36.00.4
35.235.6
Auto8.7
Teleop18.5
End8.7
red by 17.0
2641
#19
18.91.7
17.519.2
Auto8.4
Teleop7.0
End3.5
Third
3932
#11
19.40.4
20.120.5
Auto7.5
Teleop7.1
End4.8
red by 5.5
8581
#34
13.91.7
12.714.4
Auto5.5
Teleop5.9
End2.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
4%Sustainability oddsMissed5%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
89%Activation oddsEarned39%Activation oddsMissed