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Red73
459210.2
406537.8
10823.4
Blue56
541017.7
264118.9
555719.4
84%Model gave it16%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions815620401001207356

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
37.80.2
38.237.9
Auto13.9
Teleop15.7
End8.2
red by 18.4
5557
#15
19.40.0
19.419.4
Auto4.0
Teleop8.5
End6.9
Second
108
#12
23.40.2
23.823.6
Auto5.3
Teleop14.3
End3.8
red by 4.5
2641
#19
18.90.0
18.918.9
Auto8.4
Teleop7.0
End3.5
Third
4592
#33
10.20.2
10.610.3
Auto3.0
Teleop4.6
End2.5
blue by 7.5
5410
#14
17.70.0
17.717.7
Auto4.2
Teleop8.4
End5.1