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Red65
459210.2
406537.8
10823.4
Blue93
1132.5
317328.9
881718.9
28%Model gave it72%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions75864060801001206593

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
37.80.2
37.937.8
Auto13.9
Teleop15.7
End8.2
red by 5.3
11
#9
32.50.3
32.232.5
Auto11.9
Teleop14.2
End6.4
Second
108
#12
23.40.2
23.623.4
Auto5.3
Teleop14.3
End3.8
blue by 5.5
28.90.3
28.729.0
Auto8.7
Teleop10.8
End9.5
Third
4592
#33
10.20.2
10.310.2
Auto3.0
Teleop4.6
End2.5
blue by 8.7
8817
#23
18.90.3
18.719.0
Auto6.3
Teleop9.1
End3.5