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Red75
555719.4
264118.9
541017.7
Blue68
393219.4
420636.0
78339.4
26%Model gave it74%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions57712040801007568

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5557
#15
19.40.3
19.119.4
Auto4.0
Teleop8.5
End6.9
blue by 16.5
36.00.0
36.036.0
Auto8.7
Teleop18.5
End8.7
Second
2641
#19
18.90.3
18.618.9
Auto8.4
Teleop7.0
End3.5
blue by 0.5
3932
#11
19.40.0
19.519.4
Auto7.5
Teleop7.1
End4.8
Third
5410
#14
17.70.3
17.417.7
Auto4.2
Teleop8.4
End5.1
red by 8.3
7833
#22
9.40.0
9.49.4
Auto3.0
Teleop2.0
End4.4