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Red103
582814.2
691939.2
168331.7
Blue61
450932.0
418821.3
332916.7
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions92732040608010012014016010361

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
39.20.4
38.839.2
Auto14.0
Teleop17.0
End8.2
red by 7.2
32.00.3
32.332.0
Auto11.3
Teleop14.5
End6.2
Second
31.70.4
31.331.7
Auto6.0
Teleop19.4
End6.4
red by 10.4
21.30.3
21.721.3
Auto6.8
Teleop7.9
End6.7
Third
5828
#14
14.20.4
13.714.2
Auto4.9
Teleop5.5
End3.7
blue by 2.5
3329
#16
16.70.3
17.016.7
Auto2.1
Teleop8.5
End6.1