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Red50
582814.2
424011.1
450932.0
Blue27
418821.3
470117.0
810011.9
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions495601001505027

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
32.00.4
21.622.0
Auto11.3
Teleop14.5
End6.2
red by 10.7
21.32.7
19.416.7
Auto6.8
Teleop7.9
End6.7
Second
5828
#14
14.20.4
12.612.9
Auto4.9
Teleop5.5
End3.7
blue by 2.8
17.02.7
17.815.1
Auto4.5
Teleop5.5
End7.0
Third
4240
#13
11.10.4
12.512.9
Auto1.8
Teleop2.5
End6.8
blue by 0.8
8100
#10
11.92.7
14.411.7
Auto0.8
Teleop6.9
End4.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
3%Sustainability oddsMissed3%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
24%Activation oddsMissed26%Activation oddsMissed