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Red71
747015.6
470117.0
418821.3
Blue66
363517.7
926022.6
445913.8
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions495602040801007166

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
21.32.7
18.921.5
Auto6.8
Teleop7.9
End6.7
blue by 1.2
22.61.6
20.021.6
Auto4.6
Teleop12.7
End5.2
Second
17.02.7
15.117.7
Auto4.5
Teleop5.5
End7.0
blue by 0.8
3635
#15
17.71.6
16.217.8
Auto0.1
Teleop9.4
End8.2
Third
7470
#17
15.62.7
13.215.8
Auto4.6
Teleop5.8
End5.2
red by 1.8
4459
#19
13.81.6
15.316.9
Auto3.4
Teleop4.5
End5.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
3%Sustainability oddsMissed3%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
26%Activation oddsEarned28%Activation oddsMissed