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Red46
926022.6
747015.6
813712.2
Blue47
47308.8
582814.2
168331.7
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5641020801004647

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
22.60.4
21.220.8
Auto4.6
Teleop12.7
End5.2
blue by 9.1
31.70.6
27.428.0
Auto6.0
Teleop19.4
End6.4
Second
7470
#17
15.60.4
16.416.0
Auto4.6
Teleop5.8
End5.2
red by 1.4
5828
#14
14.20.6
8.08.6
Auto4.9
Teleop5.5
End3.7
Third
8137
#11
12.20.4
13.012.6
Auto2.9
Teleop6.5
End2.8
red by 3.4
4730
#21
8.80.6
4.75.3
Auto0.9
Teleop2.9
End5.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
3%Sustainability oddsMissed3%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
16%Activation oddsMissed16%Activation oddsMissed