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Red71
47308.8
168331.7
332916.7
Blue49
363517.7
908610.0
753819.1
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5943020801001207149

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
31.71.3
29.630.9
Auto6.0
Teleop19.4
End6.4
red by 12.6
19.10.5
17.417.8
Auto5.7
Teleop10.0
End3.5
Second
3329
#16
16.71.3
16.017.3
Auto2.1
Teleop8.5
End6.1
blue by 1.1
3635
#15
17.70.5
15.916.4
Auto0.1
Teleop9.4
End8.2
Third
4730
#21
8.81.3
7.48.8
Auto0.9
Teleop2.9
End5.0
blue by 1.3
9086
#20
10.00.5
9.39.8
Auto2.4
Teleop5.2
End2.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
4%Sustainability oddsMissed3%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
11%Activation oddsMissed7%Activation oddsMissed