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Red54
363517.7
881510.3
450932.0
Blue26
424011.1
753819.1
926022.6
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions604801001505426

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
32.00.1
19.719.6
Auto11.3
Teleop14.5
End6.2
red by 9.4
22.62.2
14.111.8
Auto4.6
Teleop12.7
End5.2
Second
3635
#15
17.70.1
23.022.9
Auto0.1
Teleop9.4
End8.2
blue by 1.4
19.12.2
14.312.0
Auto5.7
Teleop10.0
End3.5
Third
8815
#18
10.30.1
12.011.9
Auto2.3
Teleop3.0
End5.0
blue by 0.8
4240
#13
11.12.2
17.915.6
Auto1.8
Teleop2.5
End6.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
4%Sustainability oddsMissed4%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
30%Activation oddsMissed25%Activation oddsMissed