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Red48
450932.0
418821.3
332916.7
Blue0
99810.0
99800.0
99850.0
86%Model gave it14%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions81450100150200480

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
32.00.5
32.431.9
Auto11.3
Teleop14.5
End6.2
red by 32.0
9980
Unranked
0.00.0
0.00.0
Auto0.0
Teleop0.0
End0.0
Second
21.30.5
21.721.2
Auto6.8
Teleop7.9
End6.7
red by 21.3
9981
Unranked
0.00.0
0.00.0
Auto0.0
Teleop0.0
End0.0
Third
3329
#16
16.70.5
17.316.8
Auto2.1
Teleop8.5
End6.1
red by 16.7
9985
Unranked
0.00.0
0.00.0
Auto0.0
Teleop0.0
End0.0