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Red78
602326.5
418932.0
751416.6
Blue56
451621.0
83222.6
529323.2
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions70610501001507856

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
32.00.5
31.031.5
Auto12.9
Teleop12.3
End6.9
red by 8.8
5293
#18
23.20.2
19.919.7
Auto8.5
Teleop6.5
End8.2
Second
6023
#11
26.50.5
21.421.9
Auto11.5
Teleop7.8
End7.2
red by 3.9
832
#9
22.60.2
19.519.4
Auto5.7
Teleop10.3
End6.6
Third
7514
#22
16.60.5
12.412.9
Auto7.3
Teleop5.4
End3.9
blue by 4.5
4516
#26
21.00.2
19.118.9
Auto8.0
Teleop6.8
End6.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
2%Sustainability oddsMissed2%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
82%Activation oddsMissed26%Activation oddsMissed